Prediction Markets and the Alien Disclosure Debate

To the point

Speculation about aliens has moved into mainstream politics and even prediction markets, with Donald Trump hinting at new UFO files and Polymarket listing bets on whether the US government will confirm extraterrestrial existence, odds slowly rising toward 2026 while scientists and figures like Neil deGrasse Tyson and Barack Obama say there is no verified evidence and expect disclosures to be redacted or mundane, leaving only a slim but enduring chance of confirmation by year-end.