Certainty Index: A Three-Parameter Framework for Evaluating UFO Reports

To the point

Vicente Juan Ballester Olmos and Miguel Guasp propose a framework that scores UFO reports with a Certainty Index based on Source of Information, Strangeness, and Credibility, multiplies their component scores to yield a single value reflecting a case’s integrity and significance, and tends to give higher scores to cases involving trained witnesses like pilots or radar detections.

UFO Case Evaluation: How to Score Reports Based on Source, Strangeness, and Credibility
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UFO Case Evaluation: How to Score Reports Based on Source, Strangeness, and Credibility

In UFO research, determining the integrity and importance of reported cases is often difficult.