Short-Lived Civilizations: Rethinking the Fermi Paradox and SETI Search Strategies
To the point
New research suggests intelligent civilizations in the galaxy may only last a few thousand years before fading due to threats like asteroids, supervolcanoes, climate change, nuclear war, pandemics, or rogue AI, which could explain why we haven’t seen signals and implies we’re early in the galaxy, while space weather around stars—especially small ones—can distort transmissions, so searches should look for a broader, blurred range of signals rather than very narrow, precise frequencies.