Radical Mundanity: A Quiet Galaxy With Few Civilizations and Implications for Contact

To the point

Only a few advanced civilizations exist in the galaxy and none build large-scale space projects or spread widely, so vast galactic colonization is unlikely though contact could still occur, and many planets may harbor life.

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arxiv.org

A Less Terrifying Universe? Mundanity as an Explanation for the Fermi Paradox

Applying a principle of radical mundanity, this paper examines explanations for the lack of strong evidence for the presence of technology-using extraterrestrial civilizations (ETCs) in the Galaxy - the Fermi paradox. With this principle, the prospect that the Galaxy contains a modest number of civilizations is preferred, where none have achieved technology levels sufficient to accomplish large-scale astro-engineering or lack the desire to do so. This consideration also leads to the expectation that no ETC will colonize a large fraction of the Galaxy, even using robotic probes, and that there are no long-duration high-power beacons. However, there is a reasonable chance that we may make contact on a short, by historical standards, timescale. This event would be momentous, but could still leave us slightly disappointed. Such a Universe would be less terrifying than either of the two possibilities in the quote generally attributed to Arthur C. Clarke on whether we are alone or not. Also, if there is a modest number of ETCs in the Galaxy, that would suggest that there is a large number of planets with some form of life.